Much of the world seemingly believes that Hugo Chavez is a dictator. While the technical definition of that word can be debated, his actions as of late certainly do nothing to prove otherwise. The most recent incident features Chavez more or less vowing to throw opposition leader Manuel Rosales in jail. Rosales ran for President against Chavez in the most recent elections in Venezuela, and although he lost, the race was closer than Chavez would have liked it. Chavez’s party is in danger of losing some key positions around the country, particularly in Zulia state in western Venezuela, the main stronghold of an otherwise weak and fragmented opposition. As Governor of Zulia, Rosales was a constant thorn in Hugo’s side. In the upcoming gubernatorial and mayoral elections, Rosales is running for mayor of Maracaibo, Venezuela’s second largest city. Chavez announced he would be drawing up military plans in case Rosales wins the election.
Empty threats from Chavez are nothing new, but now it seems he has really taken off the gloves in regards to Rosales, stating, "I am determined to put Manuel Rosales behind bars. A swine like that has to be in prison.” He has accused Rosales of working with the CIA and plotting to overthrow and assassinate him (sound familiar?...it’s so oft repeated now it just seems humorous more than anything else).
On Monday, Rosales decided to hit back, announcing he would take Chavez to court for a litany of serious crimes, foremost being narco-trafficking, corruption, and terrorism. Wow. Does that cover all of it? What about treason, shoplifting, bootlegging moonshine, sodomy….? He’s no pushover apparently: ''If he [Chavez] doesn’t respect me and tries to sweep the floor with me, I won’t take it. Not from him or anyone else."
While all this may sound like lame political bitch-slapping back and forth, it probably reflects the growing uneasiness in the country that comes with plummeting oil prices. Much like McCain has been torpedoed by the financial crisis in the U.S., $60 barrels of oil spell political trouble for Chavez. Venezuela had massive problems when oil was at $140/barrel, including widespread food shortages, terrible inflation, increased kidnappings and street violence… Although a large percentage of the country lives in poverty, they probably understand the fundamental problem of low oil prices in a petrostate and what that means for their immediate future. That said, the November 23 elections will probably reflect that reality, and Chavez lashing out means he sees the writing on the wall.
Empty threats from Chavez are nothing new, but now it seems he has really taken off the gloves in regards to Rosales, stating, "I am determined to put Manuel Rosales behind bars. A swine like that has to be in prison.” He has accused Rosales of working with the CIA and plotting to overthrow and assassinate him (sound familiar?...it’s so oft repeated now it just seems humorous more than anything else).
On Monday, Rosales decided to hit back, announcing he would take Chavez to court for a litany of serious crimes, foremost being narco-trafficking, corruption, and terrorism. Wow. Does that cover all of it? What about treason, shoplifting, bootlegging moonshine, sodomy….? He’s no pushover apparently: ''If he [Chavez] doesn’t respect me and tries to sweep the floor with me, I won’t take it. Not from him or anyone else."
While all this may sound like lame political bitch-slapping back and forth, it probably reflects the growing uneasiness in the country that comes with plummeting oil prices. Much like McCain has been torpedoed by the financial crisis in the U.S., $60 barrels of oil spell political trouble for Chavez. Venezuela had massive problems when oil was at $140/barrel, including widespread food shortages, terrible inflation, increased kidnappings and street violence… Although a large percentage of the country lives in poverty, they probably understand the fundamental problem of low oil prices in a petrostate and what that means for their immediate future. That said, the November 23 elections will probably reflect that reality, and Chavez lashing out means he sees the writing on the wall.
3 comments:
I do not know if you are familiar with our experience. We were expelled and lost all our properties which were then used for Cubans.
My children are Venezuelan citizens and yet are denied their right to a Passport or ID. Some Venezuelan born children have been deported from the country.
We had several experiences involving the courts, and Military Intelligence. I still can not talk about it all.
So, I do refer to hugo as a dictator even though i understand not all see it that way.
Wow, no I was not familiar with your story. I'm truly sorry your family had to endure such events.
That indeed is dictatorial behavior, as are many of Chavez's actions these days. I guess the only reason I hesitate to use that term freely in reference to him is the whole election deal. Once he voids the results of an election that he doesn't like (which I have every reason to believe is possible given his increasingly erratic behavior), then I think I can scrap the last shred of doubt I have as to his democratic credentials, or lack thereof...
I did not mean for my last comment to be confrontational which it may have seemed. I just wanted to share my reasons for referring to him as a dictator.
Some would indeed say he has already defied elections. He certainly ignored the loss last December to his Constitutional reforms. He proceeded to go ahead and make the reforms by decree.
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